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The pitching staff as a whole struggled last season."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Detroit Tigers AnalysisDetroit Tigers Prospect NotebookDetroit Tigers Game ThreadsDetroit Tigers NewsDetroit Tigers PodcastsDetroit Tigers AnalysisWhich Tigers pitchers outperformed their 2018 ZiPS projections?New http://www.raysfanproshop.com/authentic-evan-longoria-jersey ,8commentsThe pitching staff as a whole struggled last season.ESTShareTweetShareShareWhich Tigers pitchers outperformed their 2018 ZiPS projections?Raj Mehta-USA TODAY SportsOn Tuesday, we took a look at Tigers batters who overachieved and underachieved according to their 2018 preseason ZiPS projections. Today, we shift our attention to the Detroit pitching staff, specifically the pitchers who logged at least 30 innings last season.As a reminder, ZiPS is one of many projection systems that takes historical data and aims to estimate a player’s performance in the upcoming season. ZiPS, in particular, provides projections for all of the key basic and advanced metrics, leading into an fWAR total.Though ZiPS is far from perfect, it is one of the best tools for predicting future performance, and has a lot of value in retroactive analysis as well. These posts are not looking to measure the validity of the projection system, but rather evaluate how players performed in relation to expectations. Unfortunately for Tigers pitchers in 2018, the final results were not too pretty when considering the initial baseline last March.2018 Tigers Pitchers ZiPS NameZiPSfWARDeltaNameZiPSfWARDeltaModest gainsOnly four of 15 Tigers pitchers ended with a 2018 fWAR higher than their ZiPS projection. This is...not good. The biggest gainer with 1.4 fWAR at season’s end was Joe Jimenez, the electric reliever and Closer of the Future. Jimenez thrived in his first real season in the majors, recording a 29.2 percent strikeout rate, which translated to a 2.91 FIP.Run prevention was a bit of an issue for Jimenez http://www.raysfanproshop.com/authentic-evan-longoria-jersey , and his 4.31 ERA was quite a bit higher than his FIP. Since fWAR is based on FIP instead of ERA, he had a decently productive season by that metric, but the Tigers will want to see a little improvement in actual results in 2019. Jimenez is still just 23 years old so there is plenty of room for growth.The second biggest gain came from reliever Victor Alcantara (+0.7), who appeared in 26 games last season, mostly in the second half. The right-hander had a 2.40 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, but recorded only 6.30 strikeouts per inning which led to a 4.53 FIP and a flat 0.0 fWAR. Alcantara should fight for a spot this season, but he is unlikely to be a key cog in the Tigers’ bullpen.Matthew Boyd (+0.5) experienced the best season of his young career, although the results were still limited. He posted career bests in innings (170 1/3), ERA (4.39), FIP (4.45), strikeout rate (22.4 percent), batting average against (.226), and fWAR (2.0). For Boyd, the question becomes what his role can be going forward. The Tigers have a lot of young arms in the system, but there are not a ton of stable veterans currently in Detroit. If he continues to progress forward in both innings and productivity http://www.rangersfanproshop.com/authentic-matt-moore-jersey , he may be able to solidify a back-end spot in the rotation before some of the younger arms reach the big club.Trade woesOn the flip side, the biggest disappointments were all recent trade acquisitions who are still working to earn their place. Perhaps this is an overreaction for Michael Fulmer, who has earned the benefit of the doubt after stellar 2016 and 2017 seasons. Still, his 2018 was a sharp step back, and he fell -1.5 fWAR under expectation.Fulmer dealt with some injuries last season, which hopefully was the cause for his steep jump in both ERA (3.83 vs. 4.69) and FIP (3.67 vs. 4.52). Injuries were a concern for him as a prospect, however, so maybe this is just part of who he is. 2018 probably showed Tigers fans to temper expectations for Fulmer. He is still an excellent pitcher and someone to plan around in the future, but he is not likely to be a No. 1 starter or ace going forward.Maybe no starter needs a better 2019 than Daniel Norris (-1.3), who posted just 0.3 fWAR last season. Norris looked very promising in 2015 and 2016, but since then has dealt with health issues and minimal on-field production.The lefty did show glimpses of promise last year, featuring a career-best 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, but he surrendered too many home runs (1.62 per nine innings) and hard contact (40.6 percent). Norris is extremely likable, but he is running out of time to prove his value.Shane Greene (-1.1) has been on quite a journey, transitioning from starter to reliever to closer. While he notched 32 saves in 2018 Ivan Rodriguez Jersey , he did so with a 5.12 ERA and 4.61 FIP. The issues for Greene stemmed from a home run rate of 1.71 per nine innings, which overtook an improved K-BB% of 16.5 percent.Despite these issues, Greene still has enough potential as a back-end reliever to find his way into trade conversations. A first half of 2019 that mirrors his 2017 campaign should do enough to erase the memories of last season and make him an enticing option for a contender. ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) — Pitcher Trevor Bauer has gone to salary arbitration with the Cleveland Indians for the second straight year.Relievers Ryan Tepera of Toronto and Kyle Barraclough of Washington lost their cases, leaving the sides tied 3-3 with six possible decisions remaining.After winning last year’s hearing, Bauer asked for $13 million and the Indians argued for $11 million on Friday. Arbitrators James Darby, James Oldham and Sylvia Skratek are not expected to rule until next week, after the hearings for Houston’s Gerrit Cole and Cincinnati’s Alex Wood.Bauer won a $6,525,000 salary last year in a case decided by arbitrators Andrew Strongin, Steven Wolf and Robert Herzog, who ruled against Cleveland’s $5.3 million offer.The 28-year-old was a first-time All-Star last year and finished sixth in AL Cy Young Award voting after going 12-6 with a 2.21 ERA, second behind Tampa Bay’s Nate Snell. Bauer is eligible for free agency after the 2020 season.Tepera was awarded a $1,525,000 salary rather than his request for $1.8 million.Arbitrators Mark Burstein http://www.rangersfanproshop.com/authentic-matt-moore-jersey , Howard Edelman and Edna Francis made the decision after hearing arguments Wednesday.Barraclough was given a $1,725,000 salary instead of his $2 million request. Arbitrators Jeanne Wood, Wolf and Elizabeth Neumeier heard the case Thursday.Tepera, a 31-year-old right-hander, was 5-5 with a 3.62 ERA last year. He was on the disabled list between June 27 and July 15 with right elbow inflammation. He earned $574,700 last year and was eligible for arbitration for the first time.Barraclough, a 28-year-old right-hander, was 1-6 with a 4.20 ERA in 61 games last season for Miami, which traded him to the Nationals last October. He had a $556,500 salary last year and also was arbitration-eligible for the first time.Nationals outfielder Michael A. Taylor also lost his case this winter. Houston shortstop Carlos Correa, Oakland closer Blake Treinen and Tampa Bay outfielder Tommy Pham won.In addition to Cole and Wood, three other pitchers are scheduled for hearings next week: Michael Fulmer of Detroit, Aaron Nola of Philadelphia and Luis Severino of the New York Yankees.


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